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New study discredits CDC claims of vaping as gateway to teen smoking

When Thomas Frieden, the Director of the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), came out publicly to denounce e-cigs and vaping as a gateway to teen smoking some three years ago, one professor from the University of Michigan found these claims to be a bit exaggerated, to say the least.  As someone who spends the majority of his daily life conversing and interacting with American teens, Professor and Health Economist Kenneth Warner wanted to determine for himself if the CDC was accurate, misinformed, or perhaps even worse, outright lying.

Warner had also been reading the scientific research from his colleagues across the pond in Great Britain.  While the FDA and the CDC were spending a great deal of time, energy, and financial resources trying to demonize vaping in the minds of the American People, the UK’s Public Health England (PHE) and Royal College of Physicians (RCP) were singing a vastly different tune.  The former was boasting to anyone who would listen about the marvels of e-cigs as a smoking cessation device.  And at the same time, the RCP was publishing research findings claiming that vaping is 95 percent healthier and safer than smoking.

The Monitoring the Future Study

How could the public health agencies of two different countries come up with such differing opinions?   Warner decided to conduct his own scientific study.  He called his research the Monitoring the Future Study, or MTF, and he solicited a group of typical American teenagers from Grades 8, 10, and 12.  Warner then asked the participants some vey pointed questions.  The results are quite startling and further disprove the CDC’s previous claims that e-cigs are a gateway to teen smoking.  The MTF study shows:


  • High school students who don’t currently smoke are highly unlikely to pick up an e-cig at any point in the future.
  • Their chances of becoming a daily vaper are even more rare.
  • Of the small group of non-smoking teens who have actually tried vaping, approximately 60 percent of them only vaped a total of one or two days in a month-long period before becoming bored with the devices and giving them up entirely.
  • Only one percent of non-smoking teens used e-cigs or vaping devices for more than 20-days that month.
  • And perhaps most important, over 66 percent of the non-smoking teens choose an e-liquid with zero nicotine.

These are all facts that the CDC’s research fails to take into consideration, according to Warner.  Yes, some teens who have never smoked a day in their lives might try vaping, but only about one percent might become long-term vapers.  Most of them quickly grow bored with e-cigs within a day or so.  And an even larger number of them are vaping nicotine-free e-cigs even when going through their experimental phase.

These are all facts that the CDC never seems to share with the American People.  The results of Warner’s MTF Study have been published in the American Journal of Preventive Medicine, and Forbes Magazine has reported on Warner’s findings, as well.


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